Last week I wrote about what Las Vegas thinks is most likely to happen at the 2014 World Cup, or at least what they think bettors think is most likely to happen. With the tournament set to kick off, I reached out to BetFair to see what those on the other side of the country think is most likely to happen. Some of the prop bets offered are different, but here's what you might see at a sports book in Atlantic City.
I'm not a huge fan of the wives and girlfriends obsession surrounding soccer culture, but we all know ESPN/ABC have no qualms about finding a player's loved one in the crowd and fixating on them. The prop bet is which wife/girlfriend will be shown on TV the most and unsurprisingly Shakira is given even odds. Next is Bruna Marquezine the Brazilian actress and girlfriend of Neymar.
Bettors can also wager on which is more likely to happen first: a red card or an NBA champion crowned (red card is judged to be seven times more likely to happen than not). There's a bet to see how often the camera will cut to Pele during the opening match (the house predicts more than six). You can even bet on whether a match will be postponed by street protests, currently fifty times more likely not to happen than will.
First goal scored in the tournament is a tough one to predict, with the field currently leading the way. It's between Neymar and Fred at the top of the list. Unsurprisingly Brazil are the team BetFair picks to win the World Cup with Spain, Argentina, and Germany close behind. The United States are given 250/1 odds, Vegas had them at 100/1.
The United States are not favored to come out of their group, considered four times as likely not to happen. Germany and Portugal are the most likely to come out of Group G, with Germany/Ghana given the same odds as Germany/US. BetFair has a prop bet on how many goals Jozy Altidore and Clint Dempsey will score combined, zero and two have the same odds with the house giving itself the best odds on one goal combined.
One can even bet on whether LaLaLa by Shakira will top the Brazilian charts during World Cup 2014 (12/1) and if any player from a national team will be jailed during the tournament (33/1).